Desloges CFA is a professional investment consultant/ blogger/ trader
with over 25 years of experience working on the buy and sell-side.
have researched and invested in traditional and alternative asset classes and
worked at Pensions Funds, International Banks and Dealers. More...
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February 4 SP500 Financials HVol: Capitulation Wave ? But the most interesting technical factor is that the Historical Volatility ( HVol ) on SP500 Financial Sector ( SRFI ) is spiking at a time that we retested the previous low reached back in February 2014 on SRFI then at the 276.34 level. A tiny form of capitulation we have seen yesterday on Financials. Bulls need to protect that 276 handle zone at all costs from now on...
Nasdaq 100 vs SP100 Ratio: Near Bubble Zone ? The market still favor the technology stocks over the broad stock market indices. As history repeat itself, we must acknowledge that getting over that Resistance Trendline is getting into a Bubble Game and we must be aware of that when investing... Irrational Exuberance in Stock Market Knows No Bounds January was the winter of our discontented stock market. It was the worst January since 2008, when the Great Recession officially began. It was, in fact, the worst January in the history of the New York Stock Exchange. According to Citigroup, Inc., it was also the worst January ever for credit markets.
The Incredible Growing Dividend One of the most consistent forms of investment income actually comes from the stock market. Although stock prices themselves are quite volatile, the cash flows companies collectively pay out to investors don’t really fluctuate as much as one would think. February 2
SP TSX60 Index (XIU ETF): Still into a Falling Wedge ? But the most interesting technical factor is that on a Relative Basis ( XIU ETF over SPY ETF ), we are testing the resistance trendline from a Major Falling Wedge that started since May 2009. Breaking that resistance will bring a strong outperformance of the Canadian Stock Market over the Americain one...
Fundamentals point to rough year for S&P 500 Among nearly the half of the S&P 500 companies that have already reported fourth-quarter earnings, more than two-thirds reported results above Wall Street expectations, but the reward for beating estimates so far has been minimal. 3 Key Lessons for Investors from This Year’s Roller-Coaster Market Stock market gyrations can be upsetting, especially when they send the value of your 401(k) and other accounts south in a hurry. But periods of turmoil can also be helpful if we use them to re-evaluate our investing and planning strategies.
The Gas Pedal Is Useless When The Spark Plugs Are Gone The upshot is that valuations, economic data and central bank actions have to be interpreted within the context of prevailing market internals and the investor risk-preferences that they convey. When investors are risk-averse and internal support has dropped away, a small change in interest rates is simply not sufficient to encourage risk-seeking.
SP500 Financials (XLF) : In a Bad Mood ? But what bring all my attention is that the Sentiment Index on Financials (SP500 Financial Sector Bullish % Index) reached a level not seen since October 10 2011. We can say that Financials are in a Bad Mood... Why the January Barometer works and other observations Our flagship indicator, the January Barometer created by Yale Hirsch in 1972, simply states that as the S&P goes in January so goes the year... Moody’s Explains Why Junk Bonds Will Sink Stocks Further A wider-than 800 basis-point high-yield spread reflects elevated risk aversion that will reduce capital formation and spending by non-investment-grade businesses. In addition, ultra-wide bond yield spreads favor a continuation of equity market volatility that should sap the confidence of businesses and consumers. BlackRock Says Clients Are Shifting Away From Stocks BlackRock Inc., said investors are turning to more-illiquid holdings such as real estate and private credit as they seek to generate returns and combat market volatility.