FINANCIAL ICEBERG
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Nasdaq 100 Index ETF QQQ: Runaway Train?
August 12 2016 ( From TradingView )
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The Situation
Financial assets like the SP500 Index (SPY ETF) had a very good
performance indeed since bottoming out on February 11 2016 as even
the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ ETF) joined the party and since June 24,
QQQ ETF is Outperforming the Mighty SPY ETF Tremendously.
Trading now into a Tiny Steep Uptrend channel for QQQ ETF and Bulls
need to protect the Support of that Channel at all costs.(See First Chart Below - Uptrend Channel)
QQQ ETF is at +7.7% above the 200 DMA (Day Moving Average) as of the
close of August 11 and SPY ETF is only at +6.7% above it s 200 DMA.
But few of us realize the outperformance of the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ ETF) compare to the Mighty SP500 Index (SPY ETF) on a relative basis since June 24 after testing a Major Support Trendline that started back since November 2008!. (See Second Chart Below - Red Trendline - Ellipse)
The market is in favor for the technology stocks over the broad stock market indices lately. As history repeat itself, we must be aware that this Support Trendline on a relative basis was the last call for Bulls for the Nasdaq 100 Index as it was tested on June 24 and rebounded strongly sine then.
(See Second Chart Below - Red Trendline - Ellipse)What is quite interesting, is that the relative volatility (ratio of Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index over the SP500 Volatility Index) is almost at its lowest since July 28. As only a few big names makes this index (top 5 AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, FB and GOOG makes 35.4% of the weight on the QQQ), the QQQ ETF relative volatility won t last long at that level as we are testing the Major Support Trendline that started since June 2014...
(See Third Chart Below - Blue TrendLine - Ellipse)What strikes me the most, is at a time were relative volatility is on the low side, QQQ ETF is making new highs price wise and is in the process of breaking a Monthly Major Resistance Trendline that started back since March 2000!. Remind me of a Runaway Train... (See Fourth Chart Below - Red Trendline - Ellipse)
Nasdaq 100 Index ETF QQQ: Runaway Train? $COMPQ #Trading #nasdaq #investing #sp500 #spy #stocks
Financialiceberg.Com
Daily RATIO
Nasdaq 100 Index ETF ( QQQ )
over SP500 Index ETF ( SPY )
20 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Yellow Line )
50 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Red Line )
200 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Green Line )
Financialiceberg.Com
Daily RATIO (Blue Line)
Nasdaq 100 Index ETF Volatility (VXO)
over SP500 Index Volatility (VIX)
20 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Yellow Line )
50 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Red Line )
200 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Green Line )
Financialiceberg.Com
Daily Chart ( Candles )
Nasdaq 100 Index ETF ( QQQ )
20 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Yellow Line )
50 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Red Line )
200 DMA ( Day Moving Average - Green Line )
Monthly Chart ( Candles )
Nasdaq 100 Index ETF ( QQQ )
Financialiceberg.Com