FINANCIAL ICEBERG
Always consider hidden risks
TECHNICALS
SP500: High/Low Beta ETFs: Risk Taking Behavior lowest since May 2013 ?
January 7 ( From TradeView, CNN Money )
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The Situation
The market participants never gave attention to that divergence that
started from May 8 2015 between Risk Taking behavior (weakening) and
the Mighty SP500 Index that was holding in a rising wedge pattern til it
broke finally on the downside on August 20.
( See chart below - Bottom Panel - Red Trendline ).
The divergence is even more obvious on a weekly chart. And we broke
on the July 20 week, the support trendline that started back since
June 2012. ( See second chart below - Top Panel - Blue Trendline ).
The market reached on December 3 2015 a full risk Off status according
to the ETFs High/Low Beta Ratio when the 7 DMA (Day Moving Average) finally turned downward...
( See chart below - Vertical Trendlines and Ellipses ).The level of risk taking now according to that ratio is at the zone reached at the beginning of May 2013 when we had that strong rebound. ( See chart below - Top Panel Amber Trend Line - Ellipses ).
Also interesting to note the Fear and Greed Index from CNN Money is coming from Greed and as of January 6 is now at the Fear Level.
But the most interesting technical pattern here is that we continue to have a Lower Risk Pattern Behavior on a Weekly Chart as the Mighty SP500 Index are still above the August 2015 correction level; what a divergence! ( See second chart below - Top and Bottom Panel - Channels ).
High/Low Beta ETFs ratio on a short term basis broke the daily support trendline form a downward channel that started since August 7 2018; capitulation phase it is indeed... ( See chart below - Top Panel - Channel ).
SP500: High/Low Beta ETFs: Risk Taking Behavior lowest since May 2013 ? $SPY #Trading #risk #spy #SP500
RATIO
High Beta - Low Beta ETFs ( Blue Line - Top Panel )
7 DMA ( Grey Line )
SP500 ( Candles - Bottom Panel )
Financialiceberg.Com
Weekly RATIO
High Beta - Low Beta ETFs ( Bar - Top Panel )
SP500 ( Candles - Bottom Panel )
Financialiceberg.com
