FINANCIAL ICEBERG
Always consider hidden risks
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TECHNICALS

US 10 Year Treasury Note Futures (ZN): Technical Analysis
​Jan 07 ( From ​TradingView, Barchart )









Weekly Candle Chart
US 10 Year Treasury Note Futures Price



Weekly Rising Wedge Pattern Broken on November 14 week  at 127.02+
50% Fibonacci Level at 125.05


Dailly Candle Chart
US 10 Year Treasury Note Futures Price




Daily Channel with 125.13 as resistance and 
​123.23+ as support
​
23.6% Fibonacci Level at 125.01+
​
20 DMA at 123.22+ and 50 DMA at 125.22+




Market Speculative Positions - COT
US 10 Year Treasury Note Futures Price


Large Speculators ( Green Line - chart above ) called the trend on the US TY futures; each time they were short over 200k contracts, we had a rally in the US bond market...


Seasonality
US 10 Year Treasury Note Futures Price (top panel)
Seasonality (bottom panel)​


Seasonals are turning bullish from end of December til the end of January and only start a real correction phase in mid- February for the 
​US Treasury Ten Year Note...



SP500 ETF SPY (top panel)​
Stock Trendicator (bottom panel)​



My Custom Indicator (Trendicator-bottom panel) on the SP500 ETF SPY (top panel)​  peaked on December 8 2015 and is still on the expensive side...