FINANCIAL ICEBERG
Always consider hidden risks



Jean-Pierre Desloges CFA  is a professional  investment consultant/ blogger/ trader with over 25 years of experience working on the buy and sell-side.

​​I have researched and invested in traditional and alternative asset classes and worked at Pensions Funds, International Banks and Dealers.   
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Market Insight

April 17

NEW PRODUCT:The Stock Market Breadth Depth and Health
7 Crucial Technical Indicators for the Stock Market 

ETF s Volume Indicator : Near Overbought Zone ?
We are near overbought zone for ETF s Adv/Decl Volume Indicator.

NYSE Advance Decline Indicator : Near Trendline Resistance ?

This indicator is really not far from the resistance level, even if the resistance line from the SP500 have been broken.

SP500 Financials HVol: Atypical HVol ?
Since April 11, we had an increase​​ in the Historical Volatility on SRFI  ​with a bullish trend, a very atypical behavior.


​​​​​​April 16

​​Risk On Risk Off ETFs : Still Full Risk On ?
That ratio tells us the market is still full risk On...

SP500 : Price Volume Trend : Not Convinced Yet ?
The rebound we had in the market since April 14 was not totally confirmed by the weak rebound in the PVT.

​​​​SP500 Consumer Discretionary: Divergence Still ?
And observe the divergence​​ since June 2013 and the Break Out compare to the February 24 level on the XLY and the Mighty SP500..


​​April 15

NYSE Advance Decline Indicator : Rebounding from Oversold Territory ?
Was into an oversold zone. on April 11; now in the rebounding phase.

Russell 2000 and SP500: Still Weakening ?
It is still weakening even if the market rebounded - a bad omen...

The Consumer Staples Sector : Outperforming SP500 ?
The last time that ratio was that cheap was back to July 2011.

​​
​​​​​April 14

​​NYSE Advance Decline Indicator : Oversold Territory ?
A huge divergence since mid-March. Now into an oversold zone.​

OIL Futures: COT Large Speculators: Still Into Accumulation Mode ?
​COT shows the OIL net long ​position of Large Speculators was 399.8k ( from 384.3K from 3 weeks ago )

The Healthcare Sector : My Broken Bullish Channel ?
We broke the bullish channel that started back in November 2013 on April 10 at 56.47.

FACEBOOK Daily Technicals - My Weekly Trendline Still at Play ?
Looking at a weekly chart,​ we are back below a major resistance trendline that started back in November 2013
​​ 
​​
​​​​​​​​April 11

Trading Apple Shares - The iPackage
The iPackage of Trading Apple Section is Entirely Dedicated to intraday and dailly trading of the Mighty Apple ($AAPL) Shares

SP500 and the Yen: My Failed Break Out Combo ?
Interesting to note that in both cases ( Yen and SP500 ), both high made on March 7 have been rejected violently on April 4.

​The Semiconductor Sector : Still Outperforming SP500 ?
The last time that ratio was that high goes back to ​May 2012.

Internet Stocks (FDN ETF): Capitulation Phase: Wave 2 ?

​​​We are now within the second wave of the capitularion phase after a dead cat bounce on April 8 and 9.


​​April 10​

​​SP500: Ratio % Stocks Above50/200 DMA: A Tiny Rebound ?

The ratio level have been rebounding little compare to the​ low ​of April 8.

VIX and SP500: ​Back to Complacency Level ?
If History repeated itself, and a low near the 13 level ​is indicative of a near term reversal of​ the SP500 because reaching the complacency level...​

SP500 Financials: My Broken Rising Wedge ?
The support trendline from a rising wedge was ​broken on April 7 ​at 22.17.


​​​​April 9​

​​SP1500 Volume Advance-Decline: Cumulative Still Bullish ?
The long-term uptrend is still clearly intact but not strong enough and the 7 DMA turned on the upside on ​April 1.

Volume Advance-Decline of Financials: My Broken Rising Wedge ?
But on April 7, XLF broke the support line of the rising wedge at 22.17.

SP500 CBOE SKEW Index: SKEW Tumbling ?
The option market is telling us to expect the market to a more normal return profile...


​​​​​​April 8

​​NYSE Summation Index: A Macro Signal : Still in a Bear Mode ?
And each time we had the 7 day moving average going down ( it did turn on March 13 ), market followed...​​

​The Healthcare Sector : My Broken 50 DMA ?
And on April 7, we tested and broke the 50 Day Moving Average at 58.11

ETF s Volume Adv/Decl: Still Buying ​?
In the last sell off since April 4, ETF s Volume Adv/Decl did not correct as much as the market.


​​​​​April 7

​​SP600 : Volume A/D: Oversold Territory ?
...we can expect a dead cat bounce followed by a new wave of selling.

​The VIX/ Gold Correlation US Dollar and SP500: Higher Volatility Ahead ?

Expect more volatility in the US Dollar and SP500 in the next few sessions...​​

​​Internet Stocks (FDN ETF): Capitulation Phase ?
​​On March 24, it tested and broke the 50 DMA on a ratio basis, a quite bearish set up for Internet Stocks.

FACEBOOK Daily Technicals - My Broken Major Support Trendline ?
On a weekly chart,​ ​we broke a major support trendline that started back in November 2013.


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